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State Population Report: Region Skewing Older

 

By Adam Bowles, Norwich Bulletin


March 28, 2009

 

When Margie Cohen, 62, retired from her job as a librarian at York Correctional Institution about six years ago, she spent the first year feeling lost.

But she’s back into the swing of things, volunteering at the Rose City Senior Center in Norwich, exercising a couple of times a week and meeting people on eHarmony — “no keepers” yet.

Still, Cohen said her time at the senior center, where she knits bags for walkers, has shown her just how much support the older baby boomers need to enjoy their later years.

“A lot of people here need helping hands, whether it’s housing, food ... social support,” she said.

Cohen herself will soon become part of the age group 65 and older that is expected to increase by 12,600 people by 2010, the largest population hike of any age group in the 2nd Congressional District.

The age group 25 to 29, meanwhile, is expected to decline by 1,800 during that same time, according to a Connecticut State Data Center report released to the public today. The data uses 2007 Census numbers. The 2nd Congressional District includes 65 towns in Eastern Connecticut.

The population trend in this region mirrors the one projected for all of Connecticut, where the state is expected to boast the ninth highest percentage of people ages 65 and older in 2010, which is one spot higher than its ranking in the 2000 Census.

The baby boomer spike and subsequent impact on government services that states have been warned of for years is finally here, reaching Connecticut earlier than most parts of the country.

The shift means a larger number of non-working individuals will be supported by fewer working individuals. This disproportionate population trend means less income taxes for the state, but increased demand and costs for health services, a troubling projection considering Connecticut’s rapidly growing deficit.

At the same time, Connecticut’s per capita income ranking has dropped from second to fourth nationally, which means people are earning less. And by 2030, the state is projected to gain 60,000 workers, but lose 400,000 workers. That will create a crisis of income tax revenues and likely force the state to consider new revenue measures.

“Something has to give,” said Orlando Rodriguez, manager of the Connecticut State Data Center at the University of Connecticut.

Mike Wolak, director of the Rose City Senior Center, said membership at the center has grown by 200 people since 2006 to more than 1,000. He said a couple of new members are added each week.

Wolak said the center pays a part-time outreach worker to visit members and help them with insurance, housing and other issues. The outreach worker helped 146 people in 2006 and 291 people in 2008.

“Support services will have to grow,” he said, quickly adding that the economic crisis means funding for such growth likely will not get approval.

But John Beauregard, executive director of the Eastern Connecticut Workforce Investment Board, said the burden employers will face replacing baby boomers with workers who have the necessary skills will be delayed.

“With the recent problems in the financial markets, you are seeing baby boomers putting off retirement and staying in the work force much longer than even they anticipated,” he said.

Still, Beauregard said it would benefit employers to create mentoring systems that pair older workers with younger workers. Older workers can pass on their real-world work experience and younger workers can share their technological know-how.

As part of her work as career services director for Quinebaug Valley Community College in Danielson, Elizabeth Loveday studies population trends. She said career opportunities in the allied health field will increase dramatically along with the graying of the state.

Loveday said the college already offers credit and non-credit programs that educate students in such work as health information technology and pharmacy technology. At the same time, when baby boomers leave the workplace, younger workers with appropriate technical expertise may find greater opportunities for work.

Ray Pineault, senior vice president of casino operations at Mohegan Sun, said three years ago or so, the casino considered the impact of baby boomers on its work force and planned training for in-house workers to succeed those above them.

The economy will likely delay the impact to the next three to five years, he said, but eventually the casino, which now employs 9,900 people, will have to confront the issue.

“It’s in our best interest to continue to train people and improve their skill sets,” he said.


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