Baby Boomers Will Transform
Aging In America, Panel Says
Laura
Rowley, Huffington Post
April 2, 2012
The
Aging In America 2012 conference in
Washington, D.C., included a panel on baby
boomers, featuring (l to r) Ken Dychtwald
of AgeWave, author Gail Sheehy, Dr. Rhonda
Randall of United Healthcare, Arianna
Huffington of AOL Huffington Post Media
Group and UCLA professor Fernando
Torres-Gil.
Baby boomers will transform aging in
America over the next decade, as the
generation faces both opportunities and
potential crises, according to a panel
of experts at the Aging in America
conference on April 1.
By 2020, the population of
Americans age 55 to 64 will have grown
an unprecedented 73 percent since 2000,
noted moderator Ken Dychtwald, president
and CEO of the consulting firm AgeWave.
"Anyone who thinks [the boomers] will
turn 65 and be the same as the
generation before are missing out on the
last 60 years of sociology," he said.
"The boomers change every stage of life
through which they migrate."
Arianna Huffington, president
and editor-in-chief of AOL Huffington
Post Media Group; Dr. Rhonda Randall,
chief medical officer of United
Healthcare; author and columnist Gail
Sheehy; and professor Fernando
Torres-Gil of the UCLA Center for Policy
Research on Aging made up the rest of
the panel.
Historically, Americans led
"linear" lives because so many only
lived into their 50s and 60s, Dychtwald
said. Today, "a new model of life is
emerging," he said. "People want to
distribute the longevity bonus. They are
going back to school at 40 and coming
back from illness to run a marathon at
80. They are beginning as late bloomers
and hitting their stride in later years.
The new model of life means aging isn't
an isolated zone in 'Seniorville.' We
are thinking about people as beginners
again and again."
Huffington agreed. "F. Scott
Fitzgerald's line that 'there are no
second acts in American lives' is
completely wrong," she said. "As we grow
older, we have the opportunity to tap
into the kind of wisdom that is denied
to the young -- the opportunity to look
at life without all the extra anxiety
and self-judgment that dominated our
lives when we were younger."
Sheehy called the mid-50s to
the early 70s the "Grand Tweens," saying
that "the pioneers and pathfinders among
us" will shape this new stage of life,
characterized by a renewed sense of
purpose.
Dychtwald outlined the
generational history of the 76 million
Americans born between 1946 and 1964.
"We weren't prepared for the boomers,"
he said. "There weren’t enough hospitals
or pediatricians. There weren’t enough
bedrooms in our homes. There weren't
enough schoolteachers or textbooks or
playgrounds. The huge size of this
generation has strained institutions
every step of the way."
For example, he noted, students
at his high school in Newark, N.J., had
to go to class in shifts. That
experience offers a warning for what may
lie ahead, he argued. "The boards of
education had 13 years to see this
coming. What was the surprise there?”
said Dychtwald. "But it's the same today
with senior care and geriatric medicine
and continuum of care. It's staggering
how unprepared we are."
Baby boomers will put
unprecedented strains on entitlement
programs. In 1940, life expectancy was
63.5 years, some 9 million Americans
received Social Security, and the ratio
of workers to beneficiaries was 159 to
1, Dychtwald said. By 2010, life
expectancy was 78.3 years, nearly 39
million people received Social Security
benefits, and the ratio of workers to
retirees was 2.9 to 1. "And this was
before the first boomer turned 65,"
Dychtwald pointed out.
If the looming shortfall in
entitlement programs is not addressed,
boomers will confront challenges that
rival those faced by their parents and
grandparents in the Great Depression and
World War II, argued Torres-Gil, who was
the first assistant secretary for aging
under President Bill Clinton.
Torres-Gil expects to see a new
generation of gray activists. "I'm
hopeful we might see a renewed sense of
… advocacy and demands for change," he
said. "The boomers may well be the
100-ton electoral force in the next 20
years. The question is, 'Will we use it
for our own selfish needs to raise taxes
on young people?' I remain hopeful we
will use our numbers to make change for
the betterment of all generations."
He also suggested that the
economic demands of boomers may trump
political divisiveness over immigration
policy.
"It behooves us aging baby
boomers to support the Dream Act and a
path to citizenship –- not because we
are do-good, liberal, progressive commie
pinkos, but because it may be in our
self-interest," Torres-Gil said. "It
will be on the backs, so to speak, of
immigrant Hispanic minorities upon whose
productivity, labor and taxes we will
depend for whatever public benefits,
such as Social Security and Medicaid,
that we may need."
By 2020, 64 million people will
be eligible for Medicare -– one-third
more than today, noted Randall of United
Healthcare. Chronic disease is the
single biggest driver of health care
costs, she said. More than 60 percent of
people over age 65 live with one or more
chronic diseases; that rises to 70
percent by age 80. Insurers are working
to better coordinate care so that
seniors stay healthy longer, Randall
said.
Randall expects the boomers to
be sophisticated purchasers of health
care, seeking customized insurance plans
tailored to meet their needs. "They want
more information and control over their
health care," she said. "If they see
something better that fits their needs,
they'll change plans. We see this as
having a positive impact on health care
–- more demand means more competition,
and more competition means more
innovation."
Boomers also have a "fierce"
desire to remain independent, which will
lead to an expansion of organizations
offering home- and community-based care,
Randall added.
On the philosophical side,
America needs to look globally for
perspectives on aging, Huffington said.
"Aging is so dramatically different
where I come from. There is a reverence
for people getting older in Greece," she
said. "There is a realization that you
have lived this life and now have wisdom
to impart to the rest of the world. You
see the same sense of village elders in
so many cultures, but not in America."
Huffington expects to see baby
boomers "learning to lead their own
lives with more awareness, gratitude and
empathy … and communicating that to the
rest of the world."
"By giving back and looking at
life in its fullest dimensions," she
said, "we can transform not just how
boomers see life but how our culture
sees what matters."
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