Both Parties Wooing
Seniors
by Janet Hook, The Wall
Street Journal
April 8, 2012
Picture Credit:
wsj.com
House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan, whose Medicare plan is a campaign
issue, meets with voters last week before the Wisconsin primary.
President Barack
Obama and Democrats are counting on regaining support from older voters
who switched to the GOP in 2008 and 2010 by attacking Republican plans
to revamp Medicare. But Mitt Romney is proving to be a formidable
competitor in this battle.
The Republican presidential front-runner has drawn large
shares of older voters during the primaries, and recent polls show him
ahead of Mr. Obama among seniors in swing states such as Ohio,
Pennsylvania and Florida.
The battle for seniors is being fought in large part over the House
Republican budget authored by Rep. Paul Ryan (R., Wis.). It calls for
seniors, starting in 2023, to choose among private health-insurance
plans or the traditional government-run option and receive aid from the
government for their insurance premiums. The new model would apply to
people who currently are under age 55.
Democrats are doing what they can to link Mr. Romney to the Ryan
Medicare plan. Mr. Obama noted in a speech last week that Mr. Romney
called the Ryan budget "marvelous," and said the proposed Medicare
changes in particular are "a bad idea, and it will ultimately end
Medicare as we know it."
Republicans say the Ryan Medicare plan would shore up the program's
shaky finances and preserve it for future generations, without
affecting current retirees' benefits. They also believe they can
inoculate themselves against charges they are cutting Medicare, because
Mr. Obama's 2010 health-care law included provisions that curbed
Medicare spending growth by some $500 billion over 10 years.
Republicans have noted that Mr. Obama's limits on Medicare growth
helped the GOP win a special House election in Nevada last year.
Mr. Romney took that line of attack as he campaigned before last week's
Wisconsin primary with Mr. Ryan at his side. "You'll see signs during
the campaign: 'Republicans keep your hands off my Medicare,'" he said
at a town hall in Middleton, Wis. "Hey guys, go back and meet your own
president. It is the president who went after Medicare."
Mr. Obama and fellow Democrats are trying to reverse a growing trend:
Over the last decade, voters over age 65 have increasingly turned to
the GOP, in stark contrast to the Democratic-leaning "Greatest
Generation" that preceded them. In 2008, Mr. Obama improved on his
party's 2004 showing among every age group—except among seniors.
An analysis by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center for the People and
the Press concluded that the over-65 set is now more conservative on
social issues, angrier about the direction of the country and more
uneasy about the growth of diversity in the U.S. than younger
generations.
Seniors favored GOP nominee John McCain in 2008 by 53% to 46% for Mr.
Obama. Things got worse for Democrats in 2010, when older voters
favored GOP candidates by 59% to 38%.
Seniors have been drawn to support Mr. Romney in GOP primaries in part
because he has focused so much on the economy—the top concern of older
voters, surveys find. Older people also tend to be more change-averse,
and many are reassured by Mr. Romney's reputation for pragmatic
competence. "He did a good job in Massachusetts and I know he did an
excellent job with the Olympics," said Alice Allen, a retired
Mississippi insurance agent who voted for Mr. Romney in her state's
primary.
Last year, Mr. Ryan stirred controversy with a proposal to replace
Medicare's fee-for-service system with a series of private insurance
plans, which would receive federal subsidies and offer policies to
seniors. The plan was rejected in the Senate.
Mr. Romney has embraced Mr. Ryan's latest budget. "A few common-sense
reforms are going to ensure that we can make good on our promises to
our seniors and we can also save Social Security and Medicare for the
future generations," said Mr. Romney in a Detroit speech, when he also
called for increasing the eligibility age for Medicare.
The Obama campaign has gone on the attack, sending Vice President Joe
Biden to retiree-rich South Florida. "There's a fundamental difference
between us and the Republicans: We believe in strengthening Medicare.
They don't," said Mr. Biden.
Democrats are singing the same tune in congressional races. In the
hotly contested Virginia Senate race, the Democratic Senatorial
Campaign Committee is blasting former Sen. George Allen, a Republican,
for speaking favorably about the Ryan budget a year ago.
When the House voted on the Ryan budget on March 29, Rep. Dennis
Rehberg of Montana was one of the 10 Republicans who voted against it.
He is running for the Senate and cited concerns about the Medicare
provisions.
Some older voters are growing weary of the scare tactics. "I'm tired of
the fear mongering," said Dawn Heilman, a retired teacher in Ohio who
backs Mr. Romney. "If you are realistic you have to accept some
changes."
|