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Asia's Population
Is Graying
By Gabrielle Brick, Hong Kong
Asia
July 11, 2006

World Population Day poster
As the United Nations observes
World Population Day, most Asian countries are grappling with an aging
society.
Asia is home to the planet's two
most populous countries - China and India - and more than half the world's
six and a half billion people.
And statistics show the Asian
population is aging - presenting challenges on how a smaller, younger
generation will care for a much larger, older generation.
The United Nations projects the
number of Asians aged 65 and older will increase more than 300 percent
between the years 2000 and 2050 - from 207 million to 857 million.
Population expert Andrew Mason,
at the University of Hawaii, says how governments prepare now will
directly affect the quality of life for young and old in a few decades.
"We consistently
underestimate the pace of aging. I think the changes in age structure will
be greater, aging will be faster that what people anticipate, and so we
better develop ways to deal with it, and we'd better hurry," Mason
says.
Japan, South Korea, and
Singapore are already dealing with a larger proportion of elderly in
relation to the 15-to-64 year-old working-age group.
But most Asian countries will experience the shift in age structure in 15
to 20 years.
The U.N. Population Fund is
working with regional governments to begin preparing now.
One of the main challenges is poverty.
Many Asian nations are simply too poor to fund large-scale public
pensions and health care programs.
Garimella Giridhar is an Asia
expert with the U.N. Population Fund in Bangkok.
"In these countries that I
am talking about - in Indonesia, in Vietnam - the government services are
quite inadequate. And if people begin to depend on those non-existing
services, that will be a major problem," Giridhar says.
Some governments in less
developed countries are, instead, looking to build on the Asian tradition
of families caring for elderly parents. For example, Malaysia gives
priority housing to adults who have parents living with them. Both the
Philippines and Malaysia offer tax breaks for relatives caring for elderly
family members.
But the tradition is not
enduring in all parts of Asia. Ideas about familial obligations seem to be
changing with rising affluence. Hong Kong resident Albert Leung says he
plans to have enough savings when he retires and he does not expect his
children to support him.
"For our case, I always say
we won't be relying on them. People in Hong Kong [are] still on a more
traditional Chinese way of thinking that they hope their children will
care for them," Leung says. "But I suppose this is changing
now."
The challenges that come with
the graying of Asia are, in many cases, a direct result of successful
programs in recent decades to reduce the population. In major countries in
Asia, the birth rate has been going down for the last 50 years. Between
1960 and 1990, Thailand and China dramatically reduced their birth rates
from an average of more than four children per woman to around two.
That means there are less young
people to enter the work force and pay taxes to support retirees.
So the U.N. Population Fund says
the focus is shifting from traditional welfare-type pension programs to
helping older people remain vital longer.
Demographer Mason, of the
University of Hawaii, says one way to do this is to raise the retirement
age.
"Retirement is also
surprisingly young, so 58, 59, 60 seem to be the ages at which people seem
to be withdrawing from the labor force, and earning less than they are
consuming," Mason added.
Another issue is how to make
sure the older generation is not only allowed to work longer, but is
attractive to employers. Malaysia provides job retraining and job
placement. The Philippines and Singapore offer employers of older people
incentives in the form of tax deductions.
Experts seem to agree that
finding creative solutions is key to balancing population changes and
needs.
The task is so immense, the U.N.
says, that the responsibility of caring for the elderly must be shared
among individuals, families, communities, non-governmental organizations,
and governments.
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