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 Russia's population likely to dwindle 2.5 times 50 years later


StranaRu, June 14, 2001

    
    If the demographic situation in Russia fails to improve soon, its population will be down from the present 144.7 million to 132 million by 2015 and to 55 million 50 years later, Natalya Rimashevskaya, director of the Institute of Social and Economic Problems of the Population, Russian Academy of Sciences, told a press conference in Moscow May 29.

    "The number of children and young people in Russia has dwindled by six million in the last 10 years," she said. Besides, as far as she knows, only 40% of children are born absolutely healthy, while another 30% are health risks. In the last ten years, the number of young age invalids has grown from 150,000 to almost 600,000.

    She also pointed to a rise in drug addiction among the young people. According to her forecast, there would be over one million drug addicts in Russia in 2002 aged mostly 12 to 14 years.

    She stressed at the same time that in accordance with the statistics for the first two months of 2001, the natural population decline in Russia had somewhat slowed down, the mortality rate dropped, and the birth rates showed an upward trend. But it was still too early to speak about positive tendencies, she said.