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Graduated Premiums Are Being Considered For Medicare Program
by David Rogers, the Wall Street Journal
October 28, 2003

                                                                                                                                            

WASHINGTON  

Millions of elderly people with annual incomes above $80,000 would be required to pay a greater share of their Medicare costs under a graduated premium structure being considered by House-Senate negotiators on the future of the health-care program.

The changes would apply to Part B insurance for physician services and outpatient procedures. Currently, all elderly pay the same rate -- $58.50 a month in 2003 -- with premiums adjusted each year to cover 25% of the government's costs. The proposal would substitute a set of four graduated increases: 35% of the government's costs for those with incomes between $80,000 and $100,000; 50% for seniors with incomes between $100,000 and $150,000; 65% for those between $150,000 to $200,000, and 80% for those with incomes exceeding $200,000.

All together, an estimated 2.3 million Medicare beneficiaries -- 6.6% of the total -- could be affected, according to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office. This is significantly more than past plans, and with lawmakers mindful of the political risks, the higher premiums are unlikely to take effect until 2007 and even then may be phased in over several years.

While subject to change, the draft structure illustrates how negotiators have refined their ideas over time.

By expanding their reach, lawmakers stand to recover more of the government's expenditures for the Part B program, which is a growing strain on the Treasury. At the same time, the 80% cap -- which would apply to only about 165,000 seniors -- reflects a consensus that even the wealthiest should get some subsidy to keep them enrolled in the program

The biggest stumbling block could be actually administering the proposed premium structure and deciding whether the Social Security Administration or the Internal Revenue Service will be responsible.

While the IRS has ready access to income information, Republicans don't want the higher premiums to be seen as a tax increase.

The White House and Republican leadership are pressing for final decisions this week on the entire overhaul package, which includes a new $400 billion prescription-drug benefit of huge political importance to the party in next year's elections. That benefit would take effect in 2006, which is the reason to postpone any change in the Part B premium structure until after that date.

In the same period, Republicans hope that new government subsidies will also attract private health plans into the Medicare market to compete with what is now a government-dominated system. House conservatives, nervous about the long-term costs, want to use the private plans as a standard of efficiency to force changes as well in the traditional government-run fee-for-service Medicare program.

House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Bill Thomas (R., Calif.) has taken to speaking of the provisions as a "comparative cost adjustment," and has offered to shield lower-income elderly from any resulting premium increases. But the issue is highly contentious, and alternative cost-containment options are being considered.

White House Budget Director Josh Bolten joined negotiations Monday, and the administration is pressing to merge the trust fund for the Part B program with that for Part A, which covers hospital costs and is paid for from payroll taxes.

At the same time, the White House is beginning to raise President Bush's profile in the overhaul effort. Senior-citizen groups have been invited to a White House discussion and Rose Garden event Wednesday when Mr. Bush is to speak on the legislation

 

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