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Health Insurance Prognosis Is Poor

Survey of Employers Finds Premiums Rising, Coverage Shrinking

  By Bill Brubaker, Washington Post

 September 6, 2002

The latest national survey of health insurance trends is drearily familiar. Employers faced another year of double-digit rate increases -- 12.7 percent this year, the largest since 1990. And there's also less coverage for retirees and for small-business workers.

"It's hard to find a lot of good news in this study, except to say: I suppose it could have been worse," said Drew E. Altman, chief executive of the Kaiser Family Foundation, which sponsored the study with the Health Research and Educational Trust. The survey of 3,262 public and private employers, released yesterday, found that premiums are likely to continue to rise.

"We should expect to see sharply rising health care costs for the foreseeable future," Altman said. "Workers can expect to pay more and get less coverage."

The increases are attributed largely to more spending on prescription drugs and hospital care by an aging population. For the first time in four years, more workers experienced reduced benefits than increased benefits, the report said.

Altman said he was struck by the drop in coverage for retirees. Over the past two years, 9 percent of large employers -- those with 200 or more workers -- have eliminated retiree benefits for new hires or existing employees, the survey said.

What's more, 11 percent of large employers say they will likely eliminate retiree benefits for new or existing workers over the next two years.

"There will be less and less retiree coverage," Altman said. "If I were a baby boomer, I would be quite worried about that."

In addition, the number of small employers (three to 199 workers) offering health coverage dropped from 67 percent in 2000 to 61 percent this year. Small employers are particularly vulnerable to premium increases because they have less bargaining power with insurers, Altman said.

With the downturn in the economy, Altman called the premium increases a "double whammy" for employers large and small. Employers have responded by cutting benefits or raising the cost to employees.

Premiums reached new plateaus this year: about $3,000, on average, for single coverage and $8,000 for family coverage, the survey said.

While employers still pick up most of the cost, the employees' share has risen substantially. Employees now pay an average of $454 per year for single coverage (a 27 percent increase over last year) and $2,084 per year for family coverage (a 16 percent increase).

Employees also are paying higher deductibles and co-payments for prescription drugs this year, the survey reported.

And there's more pain on the way, Altman said. Among large employers, nearly eight of 10 reported they will likely increase the amount employees will pay for premiums next year.

In the Washington area, some employers said their health insurance costs rose faster than the national average this year.

Montgomery County raised its medical, dental and other health-related premiums by 26 percent for more than 13,000 employees, retirees and dependents, including police, fire and corrections department workers, according to county benefits manager Eric Wallmark.

Wallmark said the county was forced to raise rates after reducing them in 2000 and 2001. Over the past three years, premiums have risen by an average of 7.7 percent annually, he said.

In Northern Virginia, premiums for Lammers & Associates, a hospital consulting firm with four employees, rose 34 percent between 2001 and 2002.

"Actually, I don't know the reason, to tell you the truth," said Lawrence Lammers, the firm's owner. "It's an assumption on my part that it's the cost of medications going up."

Lammers said one of his employees must fill three prescriptions for cardiac-related medications every 10 days.

"He used to pay $45 a month to fill his prescriptions," Lammers said. "Now the co-pays have gone up and he's shelling out $135 a month."

Lammers said he absorbs "all but a small piece" of his employees' premiums.

The survey's findings on declining retiree benefits will be validated by another study this fall -- this one by employer benefits consultant Watson Wyatt Worldwide, said Sylvester Schieber, the firm's research director.

"Some employers are just eliminating plans [for retirees] and they also have implemented caps that are gradually eroding the value of the benefits that their coverage will pay," Schieber said.

Today, a typical retiree pays about 60 percent of the cost of an employer-sponsored plan, which covers expenses not picked up by Medicare, the government health program, Schieber said.

Watson Wyatt estimates that if employers do not raise their caps, the typical retiree will pay about 80 percent of the cost in 2011 and more than 90 percent in 2030, Schieber said.

Schieber's advice to baby boomers?

"They probably ought to be saving more than they are currently," he said. "Number two, given the way we earn our benefits in this society -- primarily through our employers -- maybe they ought to be thinking about their whole retirement plans and working until they are Medicare eligible."

He added: "Everything we're looking at is telling us that we need to revisit our early-retirement plans."  


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