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Why We Die, Why We Live: A New Theory on Aging

By NICHOLAS WADE

New York Times, July 15, 2003

 

As you write yet another check to cover your children's ruinous college bills, there is definitely a bright side to consider: if you weren't doing this, you'd long since be dead.

 

This cheerful insight comes courtesy of the evolutionary theory of aging. The theory holds that animals generally die shortly after reproducing because extra life would not lead to more surviving offspring, the only criteria for success in evolution's playbook.

 

Species that provide parental care, however, can escape the usual curtain call for a time because in them natural selection has a basis to favor genes that promote post-reproductive longevity — the so-called grandmother effect.

 

This theory, developed by William Hamilton and others, has become the classic explanation of the way evolution tunes the genes that shape the life cycle of each species.

 

But there are various features of the human life cycle it does not explain well: why juvenile mortality is bunched into the first years of life and then declines, for one.

 

Biologists and demographers are greeting with considerable enthusiasm a new theory of aging that extends Hamilton's idea and explains the features it doesn't account for well.

The new theory, proposed by Dr. Ronald Lee, a demographer at the University of California at Berkeley, was published in today's issue of The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

 

"I think it's a path-breaking paper of enormous importance in the biology of aging," said Dr. James Vaupel, director of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Germany.

 

The classic theory explains aging in terms of natural selection and fertility through the life cycle. Dr. Lee's insight is that parental care, too, is of persistent importance. The classic theory acknowledges parental care in the grandmother effect, but Dr. Lee gives it much greater weight, saying it should be factored in throughout the life cycle. People start life as receivers but gradually switch over to being givers as they have children of their own.

 

Dr. Lee's theory predicts that mortality at any age through the life cycle is caused by a combination of two factors: the classic effect of how much reproductive life is left and the transfer effect, the economist's phrase for parental care.

 

In nonsocial species in which parents do not invest in their children, there is no transfer effect, and the classic theory applies. In social species that have reached the optimum balance between how many children to have and how much to invest in them, differences in fertility no longer make much difference and the rate of aging is controlled entirely by the transfer effect, Dr. Lee's theory states.

 

The evolutionary shaping of the human life cycle was presumably completed during hunter-gatherer days, before the invention of agriculture some 10,000 years ago. Dr. Lee has tested his theory on life cycle data from the Ache, contemporary hunter-gatherers of Paraguay, and on data from 18th-century Sweden. He finds his equation for the transfer effect gives a better fit to these two sets of mortality data at each age than does the classic theory of aging.

 

Dr. Lee's theory explains why mortality is high among infants but rapidly drops; mutations that cause death late in childhood, when much has been invested, are removed more quickly from a population than are mutations that cause death in infancy. His theory can also explain the reduction of mortality after menopause: women care for children and contribute to their survival.

 

Dr. Alan R. Rogers, an evolutionary anthropologist at the University of Utah, said in an e-mail message that Dr. Lee's paper was the "first theory to provide a cradle-to grave account of human mortality rates."

 

"It is remarkable that a single theory can account both for the decline in mortality over the first few years of life and also for the extended postmenopausal life span of human females," Dr. Rogers stated.

 

"This is the most comprehensive evolutionary theory of aging that we have seen to date," Dr. Rogers wrote in a commentary.

 

Dr. Lee said he developed the theory after doing basic reading in evolutionary biology while preparing an introductory lecture in demography. "As I started to read it didn't make sense to me," he said.

 

Under the classic theory, mortality should be constant throughout childhood, Dr. Lee said, but it seemed obvious that evolution would conserve investments made in a child and act to reduce mortality as a child grew older. "That's how I got started," he said.

 

Two other problems the theory does not explain well, he said, are postreproductive survival and the way that low fertility evolved in the creation of menopause. "My theory shows that all three problems are closely connected, and all can be solved through attention to parental investment," Dr. Lee said in a e-mail message. "I don't think anybody has realized this before."

 

He thought of calling his idea the "live-to-give" theory, he said, but it sounded too New Age and Californian.

 

The theory does not have immediate practical consequences. But by showing the interconnection between fertility, mortality and parental care, the theory may point to new areas of study. "What we have right now from Ron's theory is a framework crying out for empirical work," said Henry Harpending, an anthropologist at the University of Utah. "The theory tells us what to measure."

 

Dr. Vaupel of the Planck institute said the theory did not explain the gradual increase in longevity that had occurred among many industrialized populations in the last century because this improvement stems from environmental causes, not genetic ones. But it may help explain the evolutionary basis for "why parents are so generous about helping their children."

 

That's another thing to think about as you grind out those college checks.


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