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Pension Costs Smothering City
Former Cash Cow Now Carries $1.9 Billion Deficit
By:
Dan Janison
Newsday,
March 15, 2003
Once they were
fat municipal piggy banks, tapped to plump up city spending in the
high-living 1990s. But now, recession has transformed the city's pension
funds into tax hogs that consume hundreds of millions of extra dollars in
these lean years, finance experts say.
The consequences, they say, could include higher taxes, bigger deficits,
more borrowing and ultimately deeper cuts in the same city services the
pension funds once nourished.
As tax and fare hikes and the latest spending cut plans, including possibly
layoffs, were taking center stage at City Hall, fiscal monitors published
these glaring findings in recent weeks:
Pensions continue to represent the fastest-rising cost category for the
city, exacerbating multibillion dollar deficits.
That cost is now projected to skyrocket from $1.9 billion this fiscal year
to $4.7 billion by fiscal 2007, or 247 percent over four years.
That's 11 times faster than the local inflation rate and eight times faster
than other city-funded expenditures, according to state Comptroller Alan
Hevesi.
City contributions to pension funds threaten to consume 14.4 percent of city
funds by fiscal 2007. As recently as 2001, that share was only 4 percent.
"Rising pension costs -- along with Medicaid, health insurance and debt
service -- are key elements of the city's expenditure growth, all of which
are fixed costs," the city's comptroller, William C. Thompson Jr., told
Newsday.
"We can't do anything about them quickly or easily," Thompson
said.
Similar problems are afflicting the private sector and other states, noted
Allen Brawer, a managing partner for the Policy Research Group, which
consults for municipal unions.
As a result, there are proposals on a state level, in both Albany and
Trenton, to allow governments to stretch out the payment of investment
losses over a longer period than now permitted, Brawer said.
Given the current rules, however, options for Mayor Michael Bloomberg and
the City Council are painful: cut more spending, reduce more city jobs,
raise more taxes, or resort to a new round of borrowing (a step Bloomberg
rejects).
Moreover, to brake pension costs, Bloomberg and his budget office are
pushing to enact a new, thinner pension deal for future employees.
The city has taken similar steps in past crises since the state constitution
prohibits reducing the benefits to any of its past or current employees.
Politically, the path to shrinking future employees' pensions so far appears
unobstructed.
State lawmakers, unions and others are variously focused on resisting
broader taxes and higher tolls, employee givebacks, and social entitlements.
By contrast, little opposition has been voiced to creating what
policy-makers call a "Tier 5" pension, with a lower benefit level,
an idea Bloomberg first put on his public agenda in January.
Administration insiders say a new tier, depending how it's enacted, could
offer both short-term and long-term relief -- possibly averting some of the
other cuts that would have to be considered.
"We're examining changes to the pension system that will produce
recurring cost savings to the city," said mayoral spokesman Jordan
Barowitz. "It's a very serious issue."
Specific changes have yet to be proposed publicly.
Because of their structure, the municipal retirement funds always stand to
make good times better and lean years harder.
That's because the city contributes to pension funds based on the assumption
that the funds' huge investments will return 8 percent per year. If not, the
city must make up the difference - as it has amid the investment losses of
recent years.
So, just as the economy slows and tax revenues sag, pressure to pay into the
pension system automatically increases.
In addition, pension costs must rise along with wages as new contracts are
settled -- such as last year's substantial salary hike for teachers.
Another current factor is a patchwork of specific pension
"sweeteners" enacted over the years by Gov. George Pataki and the
state legislature to benefit teachers, police, firefighters and city
workers, who all have separate retirement funds.
Overall, the city will be spending $6,954 more in overall compensation per
employee in fiscal 2004, which begins July 1, than had been planned in June
2001, the Citizens Budget Commission said in a study issued earlier this
month.
The change from piggy bank to tax hog happened quickly.
Three years ago, pension funds were flush with stock-portfolio gains. The
city was cutting business and personal tax rates by hundreds of millions of
dollars, increasing spending commitments and borrowing, and still chalking
up billions of dollars in surplus tax revenues as the Wall Street boom
resounded across the local economy.
Even amid those surpluses, the Giuliani administration and the City Council
dipped into the bulging pension piggy bank in 2000, leaving less for today.
They won authorization to sidestep a process designed to spread out sharp
investment gains -- or losses -- over five years.
For city officials, the measure amounted to a fiscal one-shot that gave them
an additional $800 million to spend right away, leaving their successors to
worry about paying it back.
The mayor and Council leaders explained this would help offset a
long-delayed cost-of-living increase for retirees, which the state had just
mandated regardless of local fiscal concerns.
This funding advance - called a "pension restart" - would be paid
back after most of the elected officials involved left due to term limits at
the end of 2001.
So the city today is paying out an extra $80 million a year due to the $800
million one-shot.
"The downside of term limits is that some elected officials will make
decisions -- like raiding the city pension fund -- without worrying about
what will happen after they leave office," Hevesi, a Democrat from
Queens, told Newsday.
For his part, Brawer contests the view of the "restart" as a raid.
To use it for cost-of living increases was proper, he said.
"Over a 25-year period, the city brought its contributions down to
almost zero, and employees got no benefits from it," he said. "In
the New York City Employee Retirement System, there was a substantial amount
of overfunding that was available."
Of all the players who sit on the city pension boards, Hevesi, then the city
comptroller, alone voted against the restart, with a rationale that now
seems prescient. He warned that the city "would need the [$800 million]
cushion if the stock market declines." Using it then was "ill
advised," he said.
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