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Senior population going up
Area number should almost double by 2010

By Lee Shearer

Athens Banner-Herald, July 22, 2003.

Photo: news Louise Boyce, left, and Bill Powell, volunteers with the Meals on Wheels program at the Athens Community Council on Aging, pick up meals for delivery on a recent day at the council's Hoyt Street facility. The number of people in this area of the state who are 65 years of age or older will nearly double by 2010.

The number of Northeast Georgians 65 and older will nearly double between 2000 and 2010, according to projections by the state Office of Planning and Budget - and then the numbers will start to climb even faster as the first wave of baby boomers turns 65.

According to the state's figures, there were 43,730 people 65 and over in the 12 counties that make up the Northeast Georgia Regional Development Center's territory as of 2000. By 2010, there will be 78,107, a 79 percent increase.

The area includes Barrow, Clarke, Elbert, Greene, Jackson, Jasper, Madison, Morgan, Newton, Oconee, Oglethorpe and Walton counties.

Actually, the number of older persons in the area has been rising sharply for the past decade, according to U.S. Census figures.

The number of people 60 and older grew by 26 percent between 1990 and 2000 in the 12-county RDC area, according to a state Department of Human Resources analysis of census figures. Only two of the state's dozen RDC areas added older people at a faster rate - the Atlanta area, which saw a 29 percent increase, and the Georgia Mountains region, which has become a popular retirement area, at 38 percent. Statewide, the number went up 20 percent.

Part of the trend is because people are living longer and part is the aging of the so-called baby boom generation, people born after World War II when birth rates climbed sharply in the United States. The beginning of the baby boom is usually put at 1946, but birth rates actually began to climb in about 1940 after declining during the Great Depression (1929 through the 1930s). People born in 1940 will turn 65 in just two years, in 2005.

But more factors than aging and longevity are contributing to the increasing number of older people, said Doug Bachtel, a demographer with the University of Georgia's Department of Housing and Consumer Economics.

Most of the increase is simply a reflection of the region's overall rapid population growth, he said. While the number of people 60 and older grew 42 percent in Oconee County between 1990 and 2000, for example, the overall population growth in Oconee was even greater at 49 percent.

And paradoxically, the increases reflect Georgia's youth, he said: because Georgia is an overall young state, it doesn't take a lot of new older people to account for a large percent increase.

''The fact is, though, the elderly is going to be a rapidly growing group,'' he said.
The graying of Northeast Georgia will have broad implications ranging from labor markets to voting patterns, transportation to medical care.

For example, one in six people over 65 is legally blind - an argument for better public transportation in the area, said Roger Keeney, chairman of the Athens-Clarke County Commission on the Disabled.

''They grew up in cars and it's going to be real hard to get them out of that into public transportation,'' Bachtel said. ''With sprawl, of course, it will be a major factor.''

Older people are also more conservative, less likely to vote in favor of school bonds or tax increases, and more concerned with health care and crime as political issues, Bachtel said.

The aging trend has some planners wondering if government and private agencies, already financially pinched, will be able to meet the growing need for such services as home-delivered meals, transportation and nursing care.

''Funding is not remotely keeping up with demand. For 20 years it hasn't been going up to match the population growth,'' said Kathryn Fowler, executive director of the Athens Community Council on Aging, a non-profit corporation which provides ''meals on wheels,'' adult day care and other services to older people in Clarke and several surrounding counties.

In 1984, the waiting list to get on the agency's home-delivered meals program was 15 people; today it's 90 people, she said. The wait would be even longer if area churches and charitable foundations had not stepped in to help with money and volunteers as government funding has shrunk, she said.

There may be a shortage of people to fill such jobs as home caregivers, just when the need is greatest, said Peggy Jenkins, director of the Northeast Georgia Agency on Aging.
Because the baby boomers had relatively few children, she said demand will grow sharply for professional caregivers such as workers to go into older person's homes to help them with such tasks as making up beds or getting in and out of baths.

But today's population of older people is a strikingly different one than those of 30 years ago, said Josephine Brown, who has been executive director of Newton County Senior Services for 32 years.

''People are living longer, staying active longer and are more health-conscious,'' Brown said.

''When I first started, my clientele were a bit passive and laid back, more or less looking for something to wind down with after working 30 or 40 years in one industry. The ones now are more active, demanding more educational activities,'' she said. ''The people I was dealing with at the beginning, a lot came out of the Depression, and not a lot were college-trained or had been to technical school. Now I'm getting retired nurses, psychiatrists, accountants, people who have owned their own businesses, and a lot are willing to do volunteer work.''

They're also more willing and able to help raise funds to replace the shrinking pot of state and federal funds aimed at helping the older persons, she said.

''It's more about lifelong learning,'' Fowler said. ''The challenges for us are going to be to have the resources available, not just the finances but the facilities and the staffing.''

Graying population
The number of people 60 and over grew rapidly over the last decade in Northeast Georgia, but an even bigger growth is about to come in the number of older persons.

COUNTY - PEOPLE OVER 60 IN 2000 (% INCREASE SINCE 1990)
   Barrow - 5,672 (30)
   Clarke - 10,800 (9)
   Jackson - 6,054 (26)
   Oglethorpe - 2,152 (35)
   Oconee - 3,112 (42)
   Madison - 3,955 (26)

Source: Georgia Department of Community Affairs


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